Palabras clave: Tendencias de Google Similitud empírica Niveles de agregación Volatilidad Tipo de cambio Además, de que de acuerdo con nuestro saber existe escasa literatura que utilice las tendencias de Google para explicar variables económicas relevantes. Se concluye que el tomar en consideración la variable de tendencia de Google no es suficiente para explicar el comportamiento volátil semanal del tipo de cambio y que es necesario incorporar más niveles de agregación. Por ejemplo, un inversor que desea conocer el valor que tomará una variable en el futuro tomará en consideración información relevante, conocida y disponible, y la ponderará para calcular su pronóstico.
#Valor del dolar hoy mexico series#
Algunos de estos modelos utilizan series de tiempo, mientras que otros utilizan la función de similitud, que captura la forma cognitiva del razonamiento humano. Se realizó un comparativo de modelos que en la literatura ya han incorporado las tendencias de Google como variable explicativa. Keywords: Google trends Empirical similarity Aggregation levels Volatility, Exchange rateĮn este trabajo se muestra la ventaja de usar tendencias del motor de búsqueda de Google para pronosticar la volatilidad de corto plazo (semanal) del tipo de cambio peso mexicano - dólar estadounidense. Moreover, to the best of our knowledge, literature on the subject of using Google Trends to explain relevant economic variables is relatively scarce. We conclude that taking into account the Google Trends variable helps explains partially the behaviour of volatility and it is necessary to incorporate more aggregation levels. For example, an investor who needs to know the value that a variable will take in the future will take into account relevant, known, and available information, and weigh it to calculate the forecast. Some of the models are based on time series, whereas others are based on the similarity function, which captures the cognitive form of human reasoning. We perform a comparison of models in the literature that have used Google Trends to examine explanatory variables. Some of the most common due to the volume of commercial transactions and traveller flows are:Įxchanging euros (EUR) for Swiss francs (CHF).Įxchanging euros (EUR) for Mexican pesos (MXN).We show the advantage of using Google search engine trends to forecast the volatility of the short-term (weekly) exchange rate between the Mexican peso and United States dollar. Non-convertible currencies can only be used as a means of payment in the country of origin. There are some 170 currencies on international markets, but only 13 of them are convertible. What are some of the most frequent currency changes?.A foreign currency exchange refers to purchases and sales which do not entail the movement of any physical cash, such as, for example, international transfers. So, when you travel to another country, you will need to change currency to acquire cash to make payments in the country you are going to. The currency is the physical unit inside the country, i.e. What is the difference between currency and foreign exchange?įoreign exchange is the monetary unit of a country when it is used outside the country to carry out transactions such as trade exchanges, transfers etc.We will contact you to inform you of the date and time for collection.
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#Valor del dolar hoy mexico professional#
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